LOUISVILLE, Ky. -- Blame goes out with the first set of horses when the track opens at 6 o'clock. And since it's my responsibility to try to see all the contenders and function as your eyes, I try to be there, where he and many others go onto the track, at Churchill Downs' three-quarter-mile gap -- or the "Lukas" gap, as it's more commonly known, because the barn of the sport's all-time leading trainer is nearby -- when the track opens.
Not too very long I ago, before the lights were installed, on my first day back in Kentucky, I would arrive very, very early so I could stand hidden in the pre-dawn darkness and allow the associations and memories to sweep over me. As a kid, I saw my first Kentucky Derby, or a little bit of it, from this very spot, and once, when I ran off, I ended up back here, in the Churchill stable area. My grandmother lived just a few blocks from here, down Fourth Street, and she would sometimes have clairvoyant dreams about races and horses -- or at least they seemed clairvoyant to her, interpreted in retrospect -- and I sometimes would sit on her front porch and discuss the races with my uncle, who worked at the track. Half my family, it seemed, had ties to this racetrack, to this corner of Kentucky, and the adamantine ties endure: My dad was once the leading jockey here at Churchill, and his ashes were spread right over there, in the winner's circle, telluric in memoriam.
Anyway, for part of every morning this week, I've been at that familiar spot watching horses prepare for the Breeders' Cup. Blame has held his weight and looks grand. Todd Pletcher's horses go onto the track at this gap, and what a parade they've made every morning. They all glow with healthy possibility. They haven't worn the Breeders' Cup saddlecloths, but with a little help I've been able to identify most of them. Life At Ten has lit up the track. Quality Road, Uncle Mo, More Than Real -- they've all looked good, sharp, ready. For Steve Asmussen, Thiskyhasnolimit and Haynesfield have looked as impressive as any horses I've seen this week. But so many have trained impressively, and, of course, they should because, after all, this is the Breeders' Cup, and it's about the best horses in the country and perhaps the world. These two days of racing should be sensational.
The Marathon: A.U. Miner, Giant Oak, Awesome Gem, Prince Will I Am.
Yes, I know the Europeans have done well in this race, and this marathon distance is more their game than ours. But those European winners, Muhannak and Man Of Iron, were successful on Santa Anita's synthetic surface, and I don't know that the Europeans in the race this year are quite as good or that they'll take to this surface in the same way. A.U. Miner, on the other hand, has improved greatly since stretching out to longer distances, and he has looked very good in the mornings. Giant Oak loves Churchill, Awesome Gem has the class of an old pro, and Prince Will I Am, who comes from the stable of one of the sport's sharpest young trainers, could love the distance.
Juvenile Fillies Turf: Winter Memories, Tale Untold, Together, More Than Real.
Winter Memories' victory in the Miss Grillo was 11 lengths faster than the colts' winning time that day in the Pilgrim Stakes at Belmont. She's special. And the gray filly makes quite an appearance, with her orange wraps, when she goes to the track in the morning. This is another race that seems to have been made for the Europeans, and they should do well. Tale Untold never has run a poor race, and she just beat Together, who's the second choice here in the morning line.
Filly And Mare Sprint: Jessica Is Back, Champagne d’Oro, Evening Jewel, Dubai Majesty.
This could be the day's most contentious race. For me, it's also the most inscrutable of the day's races. Most of the horses are unproven at the distance; some are unproven on dirt. Rightly So, the morning line favorite, gave her best effort on a speed biased surface, and she'll face more pace pressure here. Jessica Is Back couldn't run down Rightly So at Saratoga, but the surface and the circumstances have changed dramatically. Trainer Eric Guillot said Champagne d'Oro is training like a gorilla on a hampster wheel, and she could get a perfect stalking trip. Evening Jewel is something of a mystery at this distance, but the Oaks runner-up has obvious quality. And trainer Bret Calhoun said Dubai Majesty, who has proven herself at Churchill, appears ready to give one of her best efforts.
Juvenile Fillies: Awesome Feather, Delightful Mary, Theyskens’ Theory, R Heat Lightning.
The traditional preps for this weren't particularly strong. Meanwhile, down in Florida, Awesome Feather swept the stallion series while giving every indication of having the potential to develop into an outstanding horse. When she won her most recent stakes, she actually finished stronger (33.38 seconds for the final five-sixteenths, compared to 33.96 for Mad Flatter) than an older horse that same day in the Spend A Buck Stakes. Delightful Mary has trained very sharply here. Her jockey, Shaun Bridgmohan, who'll ride her today, said he has been very impressed with her. Theyskens' Theory has been racing on turf in Europe, but the half-sister to Stevie Wonderboy should take to the dirt. R Heat Lightning, one of those good looking horses from the Pletcher barn, ducked in at the start of the Frizette, wouldn't settle and then lacked room. She's better than that might suggest.
Filly And Mare Turf: Midday, Plumania, Harmonious, Eclair de Lune.
Midday won this race last year, and she has continued to perform at the same level, if not a little higher. Plumania -- disregard her poor Arc effort -- has finished close to Midday; she may have the best chance for an upset. Harmonious beat a good field at Keeneland and could take another step forward with more distance.
Ladies’ Classic: Blind Luck, Life At Ten, Malibu Prayer, Unrivaled Belle.
Blind Luck has trained well here and looks better than she did prior to winning the Oaks. She's vulnerable simply because the pace won't be to her advantage, but she's one of the most tenacious and admirable horses to race this weekend -- or any weekend. Life At Ten should get a perfect stalking trip behind Malibu Prayer, who's a threat to steal the show. Unrivaled Belle ran her best race this year right here.
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